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Welcome to the RenewableUK Project Intelligence blog. This blog will provide members with news such as contract awards, government approvals and investment decisions for global offshore wind projects as well as onshore wind and marine energy projects in the UK. The blog will also provide members with graphical data and analysis on key components, as well as project forecasts.

 

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Operations and Maintenance Opportunities Abound

Posted By Bahzad Ayoub, 03 April 2018

Operational offshore wind farms around the world contain over 4,300 turbines and over 7,800km of cables.

According to RenewableUK’s Project Intelligence database, there are 4,312 operational offshore wind turbines around the world. There is also a total of 4,610km of array cables and 3,271km of export cables that are currently being utilised on operational wind farms.

Operations and maintenance work on turbines and cables is a key element of ensuring that a project is generating at full capacity. O&M costs account around 15-25% of the total life-cycle costs of a wind farm. With an average life of 25 years, wind farms require yearly maintenance, creating opportunities for companies working in the O&M space to sign long term agreements. 

 

Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence

Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence

The two graphs show that the majority O&M work for both turbines and cables is currently centred around Europe, with the UK being the largest market. However, offshore wind project developments are underway in North America and Asia, with the US, China and Taiwan emerging as countries that will require companies that are working in the O&M space over the next 5-10 years.

Learn about all of these opportunities at the year’s largest, dedicated offshore wind event, Global Offshore Wind 2018. Be the first to hear about the the procurement pipeline and latest tech in the UK, Europe and the wider global markets at the Share Fair Theatre and Innovations Hub. Meet with various inward delegations and pavilions from Europe, USA, China and Taiwan, to name a few. Also, you get to pick up a special edition of RenewableUK's Offshore Wind Project Intelligence.


 

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Innogy takes full ownership of Triton Knoll

Posted By Bahzad Ayoub, 13 October 2017

On 10th October, Innogy and Statkraft completed an agreement under which Innogy acquired Statkraft’s 50 per cent share in the 860MW Triton Knoll offshore wind project. Innogy is now the sole owner of the project and the company has announced that it will reach a final investment decision (FID) for the project by the second half of 2018. This decision follows on from the project being awarded a CfD on 11th September in the latest auction round with a strike price of £74.75 per megawatt over 15 years.

Total UK Portfolio by Owner Share (MW) – 29th September 2017

Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence

Total UK Portfolio by Owner Share (MW) – 12th October 2017

Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence

The above charts show the total UK portfolio of offshore wind projects by owner share. The first chart shows what the breakdown looked like on 29th September and the second chart shows what it looked like on 12th October. Although the purchase of Statkraft’s share in Triton Knoll has not changed Innogy’s position with regards to the rankings, their overall portfolio share of UK projects has increased by 1%. Innogy’s total offshore portfolio of UK projects has now increased from 2,299MW to 2,729MW.

Preferred suppliers for turbines, foundations, substations and offshore cables for Triton Knoll have been unveiled since the awarding of the CfD. MHI Vestas has been announced as the preferred supplier of up to 90 of its V164-9.5 MW turbines. A joint venture of Sif and Smulders has been announced as the preferred foundation manufacturers, with MPI Offshore being the preferred installer. Onshore and offshore substations are to be supplied by Siemens Transmission and Distribution, who will also install the onshore substation. A consortium of NKT and VBMS have been announced as the preferred offshore cable suppliers. The table below shows the dates that RenewableUK’s forecasting model expects the main components for the Triton Knoll project to be installed with most activities commencing in the first half of 2020.

Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence

Members of RenewableUK can access this information for offshore wind projects at the following link: http://www.renewableuk.com/PIForecastSummary

The overall forecast of UK project installation by current project status is summarised below:

This graph and the data supporting the graph can be accessed by RenewableUK company level members at: http://www.renewableuk.com/page/PIForecastGraphs

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Deutsche Bucht Moves to Pre-construction Phase

Posted By Bahzad Ayoub, 25 August 2017

On the 18th August, Northland Power announced that 252MW Deutsche Bucht ("DeBu") project reached financial close, moving the project to the pre-construction phase. As a result of this, several major component contracts announcements have been made. MHI Vestas will supply and install the project's 31 V164 8.0 MW wind turbines. MHI Vestas will also maintain the wind turbines under a long-term service contract. 

Van Oord, has been awarded the balance of plant contract for the project and they will deploy their offshore installation vessel, Aeolus, for the installation of the wind turbine foundations. The 31 monopile foundations are being fabricated by EEW at their Rostock yard and they will be in the XL range where EEW SPC will process more than 35,000 tons of steel in total. Van Oord will also be deploying their cable-laying vessel, Nexus, to install the electrical infrastructure. DeBu will be connected to the 800 MW BorWin Beta offshore converter station which has already been constructed.

- Installation Dates ----

Foundation start year

2018

quarter

3

 

Modelled

end year

2018

quarter

4

 

Modelled

Turbine start year

2019

quarter

2

 

Modelled

end year

2019

quarter

3

 

Modelled

Transformer substation start year

2019

quarter

1

 

Modelled

end year

2019

quarter

1

 

Modelled

Array cable start year

2019

quarter

1

 

Modelled

end year

2019

quarter

3

 

Modelled

Export cable start year

2018

quarter

4

 

Modelled

end year

2019

quarter

4

 

Modelled

Final Investment Decision year

2017

quarter

3

 

Researched

Commissioning works start year

2019

quarter

4

 

Modelled

Operations and maintenance start year

2020

quarter

2

 

Modelled

Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence 

The above table shows RenewableUK’s forecast of installation dates for the main components at the Deutsche Bucht project, as well as forecasts for key project dates. The forecasts are derived from the RenewableUK Project Intelligence Model which uses publicly available information and historical trends together with our inhouse expertise to produce projections. The project is forecast to be fully commissioned in Q4 of 2019 and falling in line with Northland Power’s own schedule, as the operator has announced that project completion is expected by the end of 2019.

Looking at the chart below, 2019 is a major year for project commissioning in Germany, with 1,365MW worth of projects forecast to be deployed. 255MW of these projects are already under construction, whilst the remaining 1,110MW in the pre-construction phase. The Deutsche Bucht project currently makes up 22% of this pre-construction total, however it will move out of this category in Q3 of 2018, as this is when the installation of the foundations is forecast to begin.  

Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence 

A full breakdown, project by project, of the chart is available on the RenewableUK Project Intelligence Hub in the forecast section.

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Latest offshore wind analysis from RenewableUK Project Intelligence database

Posted By Bahzad Ayoub, 11 August 2017

80% European turbine contract wins for RenewableUK members

 

RenewableUK members won 80% of all offshore wind turbine contracts awarded in Europe in the first two quarters of 2017.

Ten turbine contracts have been awarded, seven of these were awarded for the construction of turbines. Winners include Siemens Gamesa (two contracts) and Senvion (two contracts) and MHI Vestas, whilst 3Sun has been awarded a contract for turbine pre-assembly works.

 

RenewableUK member, Fred. Olsen, has won a further two contracts for the installation of turbines.

 

2017 European component contracts

Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence

 

Project Intelligence defines top tier contracts as construction or installation of major components: turbines, foundations, array cables, export cables and substation topsides.

42 contracts were awarded in the first half of 2017, 16 of these were awarded to members of RenewableUK, including:

Seajacks - East Anglia One

Van Oord - East Anglia One & Hohe See

Canyon offshore – Hornsea Project One

CG – Deutsche Bucht

DeepOcean – East Anglia One & Merkur Offshore

JDR – East Anglia One

 

Click here to view these contracts online: Project Intelligence

 

2017 European component contracts by country

Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence

RenewableUK members successfully secured 41% of German contracts 50% in the UK.

 

Click here to view these contacts online: Project Intelligence

 

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JDR to be acquired by Tele-Fonika Kable

Posted By Bahzad Ayoub, 26 July 2017

JDR Cable Systems (JDR), announced on 17th July that it is to be acquired by Tele-Fonika Kable (TFKable). The transaction is subject to regulatory approval. TFKable is a global producer of wires and cables and both companies have a long history of collaboration, with TFKable providing water blocked power cores to JDR for its cable and umbilical systems. The transaction, which is subject to receipt of required regulatory approval and consents and other customary closing conditions, is expected to close in Q3 2017.

According to RenewableUK’s Project Intelligence, JDR is the number one ranked array cable manufacture in the European offshore wind sector. This is based on the total length of array cables that they have been contracted to manufacture. The graph below shows that from 2015 to 2020 JDR has been contracted to manufacture a total of 1,276km worth of array cables. A total of 1,354km worth of array cables that is forecast to be installed between 2018 and 2022 have been contracted to cable manufacturing companies, with JDR being responsible for manufacturing 596km of these cables.

Aside from JDR, Nexans, Prysmian, NSW and VBMS are also contracted to manufacture array cables which are forecast to be installed in European projects between 2018 and 2022. Nexans is contracted to manufacture a total of 338km worth of array cables in this period, whilst Prysmian are contracted to manufacture a total of 218km worth of cables. NSW’s array cable manufacturing contract accounts for 61km of array cables and contracts for VBMS account for 29km worth of projects.

Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence

The table below shows all European projects which have awarded array cable manufacturing contracts and that are forecast to undertake installations between 2018 and 2022. At present, projects in the UK, Germany, Belgium and Denmark have awarded manufacturing contracts for array cables. JDR’s manufacturing of cables that are forecast to be installed in this period will be for projects located in the UK. The projects that they will be supply cables to includes Beatrice, East Anglia ONE, EOWDC, Race Bank and Hornsea Project One.

Although JDR’s contracts are currently focused in the UK, there is still a total of 3,515km of array cables that are forecast to be installed in Europe between 2018 and 2022 that have yet to be awarded to manufacturing companies. This suggests that there are still a large number of array cable manufacturing opportunities in the European offshore wind sector over the next five years. 

Project

Status

Manufacturer

Country

Beatrice

Under Construction

JDR

UK

East Anglia ONE

Pre-Construction

JDR

UK

European Offshore Wind Deployment Centre (EOWDC, Aberdeen Bay)

Pre-Construction

JDR

UK

Race Bank

Under Construction

JDR

UK

Hornsea Project One

Pre-Construction

JDR

UK

Arkona

Under Construction

Nexans

Germany

Blyth Offshore Wind Demonstration Project (Phase 1)

Pre-Construction

Nexans

UK

Hywind Scotland Pilot Park

Under Construction

Nexans

UK

Walney Extension East

Offshore Construction

Nexans

UK

Walney Extension West

Offshore Construction

Nexans

UK

Borkum Riffgrund 2

Pre-Construction

Nexans

Germany

Horns Rev 3

Pre-Construction

Prysmian

Denmark

Merkur Offshore

Under Construction

Prysmian

Germany

Rentel

Pre-Construction

Prysmian

Belgium

Borkum West 2.2

Pre-Construction

NSW

Germany

OWP Albatros

Pre-Construction

VBMS

Germany

Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence

Tags:  Offshore Wind  Project intelligence 

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UK Projects Heading to Deeper Waters

Posted By Bahzad Ayoub, 30 June 2017

Developments in the Offshore wind sector have occurred at a high pace in a short amount of time. Innovations in the size of turbines has resulted in 7MW and 8MW turbines becoming the standard for new projects, with even larger turbines ranging between 9-10MW being developed. Array cables operating at 66kV instead of 33kV are also being implemented in new projects. These innovations have allowed for projects to move into deeper waters, as the use of larger turbines means more power can be produced from fewer assets, increasing the profitability of each wind farm against initial installation and ongoing maintenance costs.

Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence 

The above graph shows RenewableUK’s forecast for the total capacity of projects that will be commissioned in Northern Europe between 2013 and 2022 by water depth. The graph shows that shallow water projects have been the dominant type of project and this trend is set to continue over the next five years. It is forecast that a total of 14,367MW worth of shallow water projects will be commissioned in Northern Europe. Although shallow water projects account for 77% of forecasted commissioning capacity, deep water projects are also forecast to account for a total of 6,182MW worth of commissioning activity, with 5,538MW of this activity taking places between 2017 and 2022.

Deep water projects are set to be installed at a steady pace over the next five years, with each year witnessing over 800MW worth of projects with only exception being 2021, which is forecast to have 437MW worth of projects being installed. However installation increase again in 2022, with this year accounting for 1,356MW worth of deep water projects.

Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence 

The Northern European projects can be further broken-down country. Through this country analysis, the UK, Germany and Belgium appear as the only country’s in the region that have deep water projects. The above chart shows RenewableUK’s forecast for the total capacity of projects that will be commissioned in the UK between 2013 and 2022 by water depth. The UK has the largest global capacity of deep water projects, with a total of 3,638MW worth of projects that are forecast to be commissioned by 2022. Breaking down these projects by their status reveals that 1,247MW are currently under construction and a further 756MW are in the pre-construction phase. The move to deeper waters is a likely trend that will continue and allows the industry to utilise more potential sites to develop wind farms, as well as giving access to areas of stronger and more consistent winds that were previously inaccessible. 

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Offshore Wind progressing in the US

Posted By Bahzad Ayoub, 05 June 2017

Despite last Thursday's withdrawal from the Paris Agreement on Climate Change by President Trump, plans for the US offshore wind sector are already taking shape. According to the RenewableUK project database, the US currently has the potential to have over 7.7GW of offshore wind if all projects are commissioned. Offshore wind projects in the country are owned by a mixture of companies, ranging from large renewable energy developers, fund management companies, to smaller independent renewable companies. This mix illustrates the depth of interest that is being shown in the US offshore wind industry and its potential growth.

US Portfolio by Owner Share (MW)

 Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence

The above chart shows the current ownership shares in US offshore wind projects based on the project’s capacity in MW. DONG Energy has the highest ownership share, with a total of 2,450MW. DONG Energy’s total share is made up by two projects, the 1,950MW Ocean Wind farm and the 500MW Bay State Wind farm, and has begun undertaking site surveys for both projects, awarding Lloyd’s Register contracts in May 2017.

Lloyd’s Register will utilise its specialist expertise in its Maine-based subsidiary, SGC Engineering, to support DONG Energy on its evaluation phase of the Bay State project with its offshore site and export cable route geophysical and hydrographic surveys. A second contract will support further offshore survey work of the Bay State Wind project. As the world largest holder of offshore wind assets and the largest offshore wind company in the US, DONG’s position further strengthens the prospects for the growth of offshore wind in the country.

US Offshore Wind Projects (MW)

Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence

The above chart shows the current portfolio of offshore wind projects in the US and the total generation potential of each project. Although there are many projects that are 1GW or above, the focus in the offshore wind sector is currently on projects below 500MW. The first offshore wind farm in the United States, the 30MW, 5 turbine Block Island Wind Farm became fully operational in December 2016. The energy produced from the Block Island Wind Farm is linked to the New England grid by National Grid’s new sea2shore submarine transmission cable system.

The next two projects which have made the most progress is Deepwater Wind’s 120MW Skipjack project and US Wind’s 248MW Maryland offshore wind farm. On the 11th May, both projects secured offshore renewable energy credits from the state of Maryland which equated to a levelised price of $131.93 per megawatt-hour for a term of 20 years. Funding will begin in January 2021 for US Wind and in 2023 for Deepwater. US Wind’s Maryland project, consisting of Siemens 4MW or GE 6MW technology, is expected to start operation in November 2022. Deepwater’s 15 turbine Skipjack project is based on Siemens 8MW hardware and expected online in November 2022. 

Company level members of RenewableUK can explore the U.S. and global portfolios, contract awards and forecasts for offshore wind projects with our Project Intelligence Hub

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Over 2.9GW worth of European offshore wind forecast to be commissioned in 2017

Posted By Bahzad Ayoub, 11 May 2017

RenewableUK forecasts that a total of 2,958MW worth of offshore wind projects will be fully commissioned by the end of 2017. The first four months of 2017 has seen 1,728MW worth of projects becoming fully commissioned and this is attributed to four projects.

The first of these projects were commissioned in January and they are DONG Energy’s Gode 1 & 2 wind farms located in the German North Sea. These two projects have a combined capacity of 582MW and make up the larger Gode offshore wind area.

DONG Energy's was also responsible for commissioning the first UK project of 2017 with the 258MW Burbo Bank Extension project in the Irish Sea. This project became fully commissioned on 11th April and subsequently became the first offshore wind farm to receive a Contract for Difference (CfD) from the Low Carbon Contracts Company (LCCC).

The other projects which has become fully commissioned in 2017 are the 288MW Sandbank wind farm in Germany and the 600MW Gemini offshore wind farm in the Dutch North Sea. The Sandbank project achieved full completion on 25th January and the Gemini project became fully commissioned on 28th April.

2017 European Commissioning Activity Forecast by Status (MW)

Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence

The graph below shows the commissioning forecasts for 2017 by country. Germany is forecast to commission the largest number of projects with a total of 1,715MW worth of projects. This capacity is made up by the three projects which have already been commissioned and a further three projects which have yet to be commissioned. These three projects have a total capacity of 845MW and two of these projects are already partially operational.

In January, the first Siemens 6MW turbine started supplying electricity from the 402MW Veja Mate offshore wind farm, two months ahead of schedule. In March, the first turbine for the Nordsee 1 project began supplying electricity to the grid.

With regards to the UK projects, we forecast that 639MW worth of projects will be commissioned in 2017. Apart from the Burbo Bank Extension, the UK is forecast to complete commissioning on a further 432MW of projects - the 30MW Hywind floating wind project and the 402MW Dudgeon project which starting supplying electricity from its first turbine in February.

2017 European Commissioning Forecast (MW)

Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence

Looking further ahead, RenewableUK forecasts a similar level of commissioning activity in 2018 to that of 2017 and an increase in activity forecast for 2019. A full project breakdown of commissioning activity will soon be available on our project intelligence hub – the graph below is a preview of our new service illustrating offshore wind commission activity (MW) in Northern Europe by current project status up to 2019.

Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence

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Commencement of construction at Merkur brings changes to German portfolio

Posted By Bahzad Ayoub, 28 April 2017
Updated: 28 April 2017

The first monopile for the 396MW Merkur wind farm was installed on the 20th April, marking the commencement of construction at the project site. The foundation installation work is being undertaken by GeoSea and the company is using its jack-up vessel Innovation to undertake the work.

The Merkur wind farm is owned by a consortium consisting of DEME (12.5% interest), GE Energy (6.25% interest), InfraRed Capital Partners (25% interest) and Partners Group (50% interest). The wind farm will comprise of 66 6MW GE Haliade-6.0-150 turbines,  with Seafox winning the contract for the installation of the turbines at the project utilising their Seafox 5 jack-up vessel.

German Portfolio by Status (MW) 31st March 2017

Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence

The above chart shows the total capacity of offshore wind projects in the Germany by status as of 31st March 2017 and the chart below shows the total capacity of offshore wind projects in the UK by status as of 28th April 2017. The start of construction at the Merkur project has increased the total MW’s of projects in the Germany which have a status of under construction from 2,450MW at the end of March to 2,846MW todayA further difference between the two pie charts that has occurred is the increase in the total capacity of projects which have a received grid agreements. This has occurred due to the recent auction in Germany resulting in four offshore wind projects winning grid connections. The winning projects were EnBW’s He Dreiht, and DONG’s Borkum Riffgrund 2 West, Gode Wind 3, and OWP West offshore wind farms.  

The OWP West and Borkum Riffgrund West 2 projects saw DONG Energy make bids of zero, meaning that these two projects will not receive, nor need government subsidy on top of the wholesale electricity price. EnBw also EnBW received approval for its He Dreiht project with a bid of zero. The Gode Wind 3 project was awarded on a bid price of €60 per MWh.

German Portfolio by Status (MW) 28th April 2017

Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence

The start of construction at the Merkur project has also resulted in a changed with regards to RenewableUK’s project commissioning forecasts. The graph below shows RenewableUK’s forecasts for the total capacity for German commissioning activity by Status. Prior to the start of construction at the Merker project, a total of 2,047MW worth of projects that were under construction, were forecast to be commissioned by 2022. However, this has now increased and a total of 2,846MW worth of projects which are currently under construction are forecast to be commissioned over the next five years.   

The commissioning of Offshore wind projects in Germany are forecast to peak in 2019 with a total of 1,319MW worth of capacity coming online. This then greatly reduces over the next three years, with 2020 forecast to witness 307MW worth of capacity being commissioned, 2021 seeing 526MW worth of project commissioning and 544MW worth of capacity being commissioned in 2022. Although this decrease occurs, it is forecasted that the EnBw and DONG Energy projects which won grid agreements in the latest auction round will be commissioned between 2023 and 2025, resulting in a return to higher levels of deployment from 2023 onwards.

German Commissioning Activity & Forecast by Status (MWs p.a.)

Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence

 

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Beatrice Moves to Construction Phase

Posted By Bahzad Ayoub, 19 April 2017
Updated: 20 April 2017

Construction work has begun at the Beatrice wind farm, located in the Outer Moray Firth. On the 2nd April SSE announced the successful installation of the first cluster of four foundation piles, marking the start of offshore construction work on the project. The second cluster of foundation piles were successfully installed on the 10th April and this installation work was undertaken by Seaway Heavy Lifting’s Stanislav Yudin crane vessel.  

The Beatrice wind farm is jointly owned by SSE (40%), Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners (35%) and SDIC, which holds the remaining 25% interest. The first eight piles to ship to site were prepared at Fife fabricator BiFab’s Arnish yard. The steel piles, will provide foundations for two offshore transformer modules. BiFab was also awarded a contract by Seaway Heavy Lifting to build 26 jacket foundations for the project, using its facilities at Methil, Burntisland and Arnish in the Outer Hebrides.

Smulders was also contracted by Seaway Heavy Lifting to build 28 jackets at its yard in the Hoboken district of Antwerp. The remaining 30 jackets for the 84-turbine wind farm are being fabricated at Bladt Industries’ Lindo yard in Denmark.

UK Portfolio by Status (MW) March 2017

Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence 

The above chart shows the total capacity of offshore wind projects in the UK by status as of 31st March 2017 and the chart below shows the total capacity of offshore wind projects in the UK by status as of 11th April 2017. The start of construction at the Beatrice project has increased the total MW’s of projects in the UK which have a status of under construction. At the end of March, there was a total of 1,942MW worth of offshore wind projects which were under construction in the UK. However, the start-up of construction operations at the Beatrice project has now changed this, resulting in the UK having 2,530MW worth of under construction projects.

UK Portfolio by Status (MW) April 2017

Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence 

The start of construction at the Beatrice project has also resulted in a changed with regards to RenewableUK’s project commissioning forecasts. The graph below shows RenewableUK’s forecasts for the total capacity for UK commissioning activity by Status. Prior to the start of construction at the Beatrice project, a total of 1,942MW worth of projects that were under construction, were forecast to be commissioned by 2022. However, this has now increased and a total of 2,529MW worth of projects which are currently under construction are forecast to be commissioned over the next five years.   

UK Commissioning Activity & Forecast by Status (MWs p.a.)

Source: RenewableUK Project Intelligence 

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